Tuesday , October 20 2020

College football bowl projections: LSU vaults into College Football Playoff, Ohio state jumps Clemson – CBS Sports, Cbssports.com


Ahead of a showdown between No. 1Alabamaand No. 2LSUon Nov. 9, the possibility exists that game will be the first of two meetings between the Crimson Tide and Tigers in 2019. Oklahoma’s loss atKansas Stateas a 24-point favorite on Saturday means that it is now more likely that theCollege FootballPlayoff Selection Committee could choose to place two SEC teams in its field of four at the end of the regular season.

Oklahoma, which held the No. 4 spot in my CFP projection entering Week 9, has dropped out and been replaced by LSU, which is now projected to meet Alabama in a rematch at the Peach Bowl semifinal Dec. 28. The winner would face whoever survives in the Fiesta Bowl semifinal betweenOhio StateandClemson, which are still projected to finish with undefeated seasons. The Buckeyes jumped to the No. 2 seed by virtue of their dominant play, the latest example of which was a blowout of a rankedWisconsinteam on Saturday.

In order for this scenario to emerge, the winner of the Alabama-LSU game Nov. 9 would have to finish the season as the undefeated SEC champion. The loser, which is projected to be LSU in this case, would still have to get through the rest of its schedule unscathed.

I believe the committee would prefer LSU, even at 11-1, over a potential 12-1 Big 12 champion Oklahoma or 12-1 Pac-12 championOregonbecause of its strength of schedule, high-quality wins and the fact that its only loss would come to projected No. 1 seed and undefeated Alabama.

But with five weeks left to play, anything can still happen. Heck, in just the last three weeks, we have seen 25-point favoriteGeorgialose toSouth Carolinaat home, 31-point favorite Wisconsin get upset atIllinois, and 24-point favorite Oklahoma be upset at Kansas State early Saturday.

2020 College Football Playoff

Jan. 13

National Championship
New Orleans

Title game Semifinal winners

Dec. 28

Peach Bowl
Atlanta

Semifinal

(1) Alabama vs. (4) LSU

Dec. 28

Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, Ariz.

Semifinal

(2) Ohio State vs. (3) Clemson

LSU’s move into the College Football Playoff means that the SEC’s spot in the Sugar Bowl needs a new participant. That team is projected to be Georgia, which is expected to be the SEC East winner before losing in the SEC Championship Game.  Oklahoma is still projected to be the Big 12 champion, but it will now take the league’s place in the Sugar Bowl. Oklahoma’s move to the Sugar Bowl means thatBaylorgets shifted over to the Cotton Bowl.

The ACC is almost a 13-car pileup behind Clemson. It looks more and more like there will not be a ranked team from that league in the Orange Bowl.  WithVirginiaand Pitt each losing this week, I am now projectingWake Forestfor that spot.Notre Dame’sloss atMichigandrops the Irish out of the Orange Bowl, where they are replaced byFlorida.  Notre Dame’s relatively poor schedule and lack of quality wins will hurt them in the eyes of the selection committee.

New Year’s Six bowl games

Jan. 1

Sugar
New Orleans

SEC vs. Big 12

Georgia vs. Oklahoma

Jan. 1

Rose
Pasadena, Calif.

Big Ten vs. Pac-12

Penn Statevs. Oregon

Dec. 30

Orange
Miami Gardens, Fla.

ACC vs. SEC/B1G/ND

Wake Forest vs. Florida

Dec. 28

Cotton
Arlington, Tex.

At-large vs. At-large

Memphisvs. Baylor

Stay tuned: Jerry Palm will update his complete bowl projections Sunday morning.

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