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EPA science board to EPA management: Try using some science, Ars Technica

EPA science board to EPA management: Try using some science, Ars Technica


      Here’s some advice –

             

People who feared for the board’s independence may find new reports reassuring.

      

      

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Those worries appear to have been misplaced. In preparation for a public meeting of the board scheduled for later this month, the SAB has releaseddraft evaluationsof a number of the EPA’s signature policies under Trump, including new vehicle mileage standards and a scientific openness rule. And the results are scathing. Policy decisions are described as uselessly vague, having minimal scientific foundation and producing nonsensical results.

The Trump administration came to office promising to eliminate government regulations where possible. This initiative has included a campaign to block limits on greenhouse gas emissions, which included a

reduction in fuel efficiency standardsfor vehicles. But there have been lower-profile changes, like limiting planned standards on mercury emissions and water pollution. And there has been an effort tolimit how much science is incorporated into future EPA decisions.

To give a specific example, the SAB says that irrigation canals are a major source of water contamination and have been the source ofcolioutbreaks spread through vegetables.

The draft letter indicates that the SAB offered to place the rule on sounder scientific footing, but the EPA declined, deciding instead to focus on legal decisions that could be interpreted as calling for a more limited legal scope for regulation. The SAB notes that this justification seems to change with the politics of the current administration and is inconsistent with the requirement to use the best science.

Next up, the SAB tackles proposed plans to reduce future automobile fuel efficiency standards. These were based on new models of car ownership that were incorporated into an existing analysis package. And those were, in part, not based on reality. The report indicates that these models have “weaknesses” in their theoretical underpinnings and actual economic analysis, leading to the nonsensical result that lowering efficiency standards will ensure lower-priced vehicles, which will somehow cause the car market to shrink. The EPA says that will lower the impact of the reduced efficiency.

Finally, the board turns to the EPA’s recent decision to alter which scientific results it considers when developing new rules. The Trump administration is claiming that it’s interested in increasing the openness of the science used in developing regulation by ensuring that the research is publicly accessible. That is theoretically a good thing, and the SAB applauds the sentiment. But the actual implementation runs into problems, namely that many of the studies involve confidential medical data that cannot be made public.

But the board argues that the problems are much more extensive than that. The plan calls for “raw data” to be made available to the public, but it does not define the term. This vagueness is present throughout. “The lack of criteria for what might satisfy the requirement makes it difficult to understand the implications,” the board argues in regard to the proposal’s lack of definition of what research needs to be made available. The rule suggests there may be exceptions to the requirement but does say say what they are.

It also does not explain how the public’s access will be paid for. Archiving data involves ongoing costs, and the EPA hasn’t made clear who was going to pay for them.

EPA policies face a tangled set of requirements. Policies have to be produced through the formal federal rulemaking process and be consistent with the legal abilities that Congress has designated to the EPA, often refined through court decisions. They have to address issues delegated to the EPA, such as clean air and water. In many cases, the laws that have delegated these powers to the EPA specify that the rulemaking process must incorporate scientific and economic analysis. Finally, to the extent that all of that allows, the policies have to be consistent with the political goals of the current administration.

The SAB’s job is to highlight when one of those factors — the best available science — isn’t being properly considered. That doesn’t mean considering it will change a policy, given all those other factors. But the issues highlighted by the SAB suggest it’s not being considered at all, which may make some of the Trump policies difficult to defend in court.

And it provides a solid indication that the SAB remains committed to identifying the best available science, even when that may not be popular with the EPA as a whole.

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