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THE Tories will only gain three or four seats despite 317 Brexit candidates stepping down in the upcoming general election, according to pollster and analyst Matt Singh. He claimed Nigel Farage’s decision to not contest in Tory-held constituencies will affect a “relatively small number of seats” overall.
The Brexit Party leader announced on Monday he would not contest in seats currently held by the Tories to give them an advantage, after the Prime Minister committed to leaving the EU by 2020 and pursuing a Canada-style trade deal.Mr Farage said: “The Brexit party will not contest the 317 seats the Conservatives won at the last election.
“We will concentrate our total effort into all the seats that are held by the Labor party, who have completely broken their manifesto pledge in 2017 to respect the result of the referendum, and we will also take on the rest of the Remainer parties.
“We will stand up and fight them all.”
He said he feared if all 600 Brexit Party candidates stood in the December 12 election, it would result in a hung Parliament.
However Matt Singh, founder of Number Cruncher Politics, said the Brexit Party’s retreat will only save the Conservatives three or four seats.
The Tories will gain three of four seats after 317 Brexit candidates stepped down(Image: Ben Stansall – WPA Pool / Getty Images)
The polling prediction comes as the Conservatives have a 14 – point lead over Labor(Image: Ben Stansall – WPA Pool / Getty Images
“This is good for the Conservatives at the margin, but the scope of its impact is very likely limited to a relatively small number of seats, and its primary impact is political.”
He concluded: “The direct electoral benefit to the Tories is very much at the margin.
The Brexit Party leader announced on Monday he would not contest in currently Tory-held seats(Image: Ian Forsyth / Getty Images)
“The places that matter are the Labor-held marginals, particularly the ones that voted Leave, about which there is much confusion. “
It comes as the Conservatives have a 14 – point lead over Labor.
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Mr Farage reacted with fury at Tory attempts to pressure the Brexit Party into standing down more candidates at the forthcoming election, labeling them “arrogant” and “selfish”.
His announcement on Monday has not satisfied leading Tory donors, who are now trying to ensure that the Brexit Party withdraws its candidates in opposition Labor marg inal seats, where the Tories constitute the closest challengers.
Millionaire Arron Banks, a close confidant of Mr Farage, added his voice to calls for the Brexit Party to stand down more candidates in favor of the Tories.
Mr Banks argued that the only way to save Brexit was to ensure a Tory majority on December 12.
Mr Farage said he would not contest in seats currently held by the Tories to give them an advantage(Image: Ian Forsyth / Getty Images)
Aaron Banks added his voice to calls for the Brexit Party to stand down(Image: Dinendra Haria / SOPA Images / LightRocket via Getty Images)
He said: “Brexit is under
“We need to see further moves to stand down candidates in marginal seats they can’t win and go for the 40 or so Labor seats where the Tories haven’t got a hope.
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