I got off to a nice start last week, going 2-1 in my picks, though theBillsandJetsmade me sweat the under a lot more than I’d anticipated after the score was only 8-0 midway through the third quarter. I’d also like to send a thank you shout out toKyler Murrayand theCardinalsfor breaking out their offense late against theLions, and then playing for the tie in overtime to preserve my Arizona 2.5 play.
As for Eli and theGiants, I still agree with my decision-making process behind the play, but it was still painful to watch.
This week we have a lot more information at our disposal, plus all those early season overreactions we always see. Using what we know, and what everybody thinks they know, I think we can put together another profitable weekend.
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I generally like taking teams the week after they get blown out, and this is certainly one of those times. Yes, the Steelers were destroyed by thePatriotslast week, but getting crushed by the Patriots doesn’t mean much in the long run. Hell, the Steelers have a long history of losing to New England, but it hasn’t stopped them from performing well against others, and that’s precisely what will happen here. The Seahawks defense was horrible at home against Cincinnati last week.Andy Daltonstrolled in and tore that secondary up for 418 passing yards. If Andy Dalton andJohn Rosscan do that to the Seahawks defense in Seattle, what will Big Ben and company do to it in Pittsburgh? Lay the points.
Prediction: Steelers 27, Seahawks 17
2.San Francisco 49ersatCincinnati BengalsOver 45
As somebody who ownsGeorge Kittlein fantasy, let me say that I did not enjoy seeing Kittle score two touchdowns that were brought back by penalties in Week 1. In fact, penalties killed the 49ers all last week and played a role in the team’s mostly poor offensive performance. I think they rebound this week, even withoutTevin Coleman, and I like the matchup of Kyle Shanahan and Zac Taylor. I don’t think Andy Dalton’s throwing for over 400 yards again or anything, but I don’t think the Bengals’ performance last week was a fluke, either. I’m expecting a bit of a shootout in this spot.
Prediction: Bengals 27, 49ers 24
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3.Cleveland Browns-2.5 at New York Jets
This is another spot where I’m looking to fade an overreaction. The Browns had so much hype surrounding them during the offseason, and after laying an egg against Tennessee last week, everybody is jumping off the bandwagon. That’s fine with me because the Browns are a lot better than the Jets team they’ll be facing on Monday night, and this spread should be larger than what it is. Look for the Browns to bounce back and make a statement.
Prediction: Browns 28, Jets 20