The 25 percent of Latinos who would reelect the president is roughly in line with both Trump’s performance in 2016, and Mitt Romney’s four years earlier. The president has held mostly steady among Latinos despite his harsh anti-immigrant rhetoric and controversial policies such as family separations at the border.
Though the results of Noticias Telemundo’s “State of the Latino Vote Poll – One Year Out” are not favorable to Trump ovderall, his ability to maintain relatively level support among Latinos could prove critical in the 2020 election. A number of Latino leaders havewarnedDemocrats toincrease their outreachto Latinos, who are on track to become the largest non-white eligible voting bloc by 2020.
The poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy between Oct. 24 and 28, and has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. (Smaller subgroups have a higher error margin.) The survey questioned 1, 000 Latinos via landlines and cell phones, and included a number of questions about immigration.
The poll also found Joe Biden leading the Democratic pack with Latino voters with 26 percent support. He was trailed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 18 percent. Sandersconsistentlypolls well among Latinos, and leads the field incontributionsfrom Latinos . But according the Telemundo poll, nearly two-thirds of Latinos said they wouldn’t vote for a candidate who describes himself as a “socialist.” Sanders identifies as a democratic socialist.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren came in third with 10 percent. The rest of the field didn’t break double digits. The margin of error for the Democratic primary polling is 4.1 points.
Notably, Telemundo’s poll found 36 percent of Democratic Latinos are undecided in the primary.
Among all respondents, seven in 10 said that Trump’s rhetoric has encouraged anti-immigration sentiment, racism or discrimination in the US And a majority, 54 percent, said Trump’s policy of family separations at the border discourages immigration.