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Trump report bizarrely claims net neutrality repeal raised incomes $ 50B a year, Ars Technica

Trump report bizarrely claims net neutrality repeal raised incomes $ 50B a year, Ars Technica
    

      Seems legit –

             

Trump economic report relies on “pseudo-economics.”

      

      

repeal of net neutrality rules and its related deregulation of the broadband industry.
The White House report also claims a decision by Congress and President Trump to eliminate broadband privacy rules created “additional real income of about $ billion billion per year. ” That financial benefit will double over the years, the report claims, saying that “After 5 to 12 years when these effects are fully realized, the total impact on real incomes is estimated to be $ 38 billion. ” How …?
The president’s report covers all these claims in a little more than three pages in a section titled “Consumer savings on Internet access. ” The report claims that Obama-era net neutrality rules harmed Americans in this paragraph: Before the Trump Administration, another FCC rule adopted in restricted the vertical pricing arrangements of ISPs — that is, monetary transactions between ISPs and the providers of Internet content such as Netflix and Yahoo. The rule also imposed government oversight on communication services, making it difficult for these companies to quickly respond to competition and provide new goods and services on the market. These vertical pricing and other restrictions are being removed by the FCC through its “Restoring Internet Freedom” order, returning to regulating ISPs under Title I of the Communications Act.
How did removing those rules create a $ – billion-per-year increase in “real incomes” and a $ 100 – billion-per-year increase in “consumer welfare?” The White House report supported that conclusion by pointing to a

(study

on DSL line sharing, which the White House describes as follows: Previous research shows that vertical pricing restrictions in broadband significantly reduce the quantity and quality of services received by broadband consumers. Hazlett and Caliskan (2010), for example, looked at “open access” restrictions that were applied to US Digital Subscriber Line service (DSL) but not Cable Modem (CM) access. They found that three years after restrictions on DSL services were relaxed, in and , US DSL subscriptions grew by about 40 percent proportional to the trend, while US CM subscriptions increased slightly relative to the trend. Average revenue per DSL subscriber fell, while average revenue per CM subscriber was constant (although quality increased). At the same time, DSL and CM subscriptions in Canada, which was not experiencing the regulatory changes, did not increase relative to the trend. Applying these findings to ISPs in the years – 40, we find that, by removing vertical pricing regulations, the Trump Administration’s “Restoring Internet Freedom” order will increase real incomes by more than $ billion per year and consumer welfare by almost $ (billion per year.

But the FCC’s net neutrality rules were hardly similar to the old DSL line-sharing requirements
. The line-sharing rules let DSL Internet providers offer service over the phone lines controlled by incumbent telephone companies, letting consumers choose from many DSL providers instead of just one.

Unlike line sharing, the net neutrality rules did not address the competition problem that today leaves many Americans with a (choice of just one or two high-speed providers . Instead, the rules prohibited certain kinds of anti-consumer behavior that ISPs are more likely to pursue when they have virtual monopolies over Internet access. The The Obama-era rules banned blocking, throttling, and paid prioritization; Forced ISPs to be more transparent about prices and the consequences of going over data caps; and gave consumers more legal avenues to complain about harmful business practices.

In addition to clumsily equating line sharing with net neutrality, the white house analysis ignored what happened during the years net neutrality rules were in effect. FCC Chairman Ajit Pai claims that net neutrality rules reduced investment in broadband networks and that repealing the rules caused providers to expand their networks. In reality, industry data touted by the cable industry shows that broadband speeds soared while net neutrality rules were enforced , and major ISPs admitted to investors that the net neutrality rules did not affect network spending . FCC data shows that broadband networks grew at about the same rate before and after the net neutrality repeal.

Even that modest growth is now in jeopardy because AT&T , (Comcast) , and Charter have cut capital investment . If anything, the evidence points to regulation and deregulation having little effect on broadband growth. As AT&T the FCC in , capital investments are based on technology upgrade cycles and should not be expected to rise year after year. Capital investments are naturally “lumpy,” rising and falling from one year to the next based on specific needs at specific times, AT&T said at the time.

Step 1: Kill privacy rule. Step 2:? Step 3: Profit

The evidence for the White House’s claim on privacy rules is similarly thin. The FCC privacy rules approved during the Obama administration would have required home Internet and mobile broadband providers to get consumers’ opt-in consent before using, sharing, or selling Web browsing history, app usage history, and other private information.
But the opt-in provision never took effect because the Republican-led Congress
in March 2018 voted to eliminate the rule before it was enforced, and Trump signed off on the repeal. Since the rule never took effect, ISPs were never forced to change their business practices. Had Congress and the White House taken no action, the opt-in rule would have taken effect in December 1093393 or later. Here’s how the new White House report describes the rule change: (Before) , ISPs were permitted to, and often did, use and share customer personal data, such as Internet browsing history , unless the consumer “opted out” of data sharing. With so many consumers staying with the default sharing option, ISPs could earn revenue both from subscriber fees, which are tracked by the industry’s consumer price index (CPI), and from using or sharing customer data. Equivalently, the receipt of customer data allowed ISPs to earn the same profits with a lower subscriber fee. In effect, consumers paid for their subscription part with money and part by providing personal data.

The report then claims that “Overturning the FCC’s opt-in rule resulted in lower prices for wired and wireless Internet service.” Using Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the report says the wired and wireless declines “are about $ 68 per subscriber over the life of the subscription. ” But the White House report does not explain why Congress’s action to prevent enforcement of a privacy rule that never took effect would be the sole factor leading to a price decrease. The report also does not note that the CPI broadband data excludes rural services , relying only on prices in urban areas. Additionally, a White House chart only includes and data, failing to mention that the government CPI data shows that Internet prices have gone back up since

Despite all those problems, the White House estimated “an aggregate annual savings in subscription fees of $ billion (and attributed the savings entirely to elimination of the privacy rule . “Pseudo-economics” “One of the fun things about how folks use pseudo-economics in public policy is that you can use it to justify all kinds of price gouging and other consumer harms as ‘efficiencies’ and then make up a model that produces some suitably impressive number of ‘consumer surplus’ that makes it all seem OK, “Harold Feld, a broadband-industry expert who is senior VP of consumer-advocacy group

Public Knowledge , told Ars today. “This report is like a master class in the genre. Somehow, despite the fact that everyone paying for broadband can tell you their bill keeps going up, we are supposed to believe that when you look at the bill the right way you are actually paying less. ”

Feld also pointed out that “much of the supposed ‘consumer surplus’ and ‘cost reduction’ comes from behaviors that ISPs claim they are not doing and would never do, “such as prioritizing Internet content in exchange for payment and favoring their own affiliates.

Even if the report was accurate, “it still misses the point that these ‘efficiencies’ and ‘consumer surplus’ are achieved by letting ISPs exploit their market power and exploit their access to our personal information, “Feld said. “To put this in economic terms, the supposed efficiency gains and consequent consumer surplus is entirely captured by the oligopoly. To translate to English, you’re getting ripped off and being told to love it.”

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