Pandemic projections –
Leaked gov’t document predicts rise in deaths as Trump aims to “open up America.”
The United States is expected to see about , (new COVID –
reported today . “The projections, based on government modeling pulled together in chart form by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, forecast about , 06 new cases each day by the end of the month, up from about , cases a day currently. ”
The Times published the document , which is titled “Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Situation Update.” These charts show the projections of new daily cases and deaths as well as how confirmed cases and deaths have risen since the pandemic began:
Coronavirus projections from a leaked US government document.
Coronavirus data from a leaked US government document.
It isn’t clear whether the document’s projections assume that states will keep enforcing stay-at-home orders through May. The US so far has nearly 1.2 million confirmed COVID – cases and about , (deaths,) according to the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center
The leaked Trump administration document said there are “a large number of counties whose burden continues to grow or are in an elevated incidence plateau , including in the Great Lakes region, parts of the Southeast, Northeast, and around southern California. ” Good news from the document is that “incidence rates continue to decrease in multiple counties, including hard hit areas in Louisiana and in the New York City region” and that “incidence rates have recently plateaued in areas around Chicago.”
despite the projected increase in daily cases and deaths, a White House spokesperson told the NYT that “the president’s phased guidelines to open up America again are a scientific driven approach that the top health and infectious disease experts in the federal government agreed with. “
The White House also said the leaked document hasn’t been vetted. “This is not a White House document nor has it been presented to the Coronavirus Task Force or gone through interagency vetting,” a White House spokesperson said. “This data is not reflective of any of the modeling done by the task force or data that the task force has analyzed.”
said on Sunday that up to 200, 05 Americans could die from the coronavirus, but US deaths could be much higher based on the internal projections. Trump has fought governors who favor a cautious approach in reopening state economies, and his administration is threatening
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