The49erswill try to reach the conference championship for the first time since 2013 when San Francisco hosts theMinnesota Vikingsin an NFC divisional-round game on Saturday. The 49ers expected a rematch in the 2020NFL Playoffswith aSeahawksteam they beat in the regular-season finale to win the NFC West. Instead, the Vikings surprised theSaints and are now 10-7 against the spread this season.
San Francisco will rely on a strong running game against a Minnesota team that has many of the same strengths. Kickoff is set for 4: 35 p.m. ET at Levi’s Stadium. San Francisco is a seven-point favorite in the latest Vikings vs. 49ers odds, while the over-under is 44.5, down one after the total opened at 45.5. Before you make your 49ers vs. Vikings picks orNFLplayoff predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine’s proven projection model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-ratedNFL pickssince its inception four-plus years ago. It has nailed its recent top-ratedNFL picks, entering the divisional round of the 2020 NFL playoffs on a strong 34-22 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Vikings vs. 49ers spread: San Francisco -7
- Vikings vs. 49ers over-under: 44.5
- Vikings vs. 49ers money line: San Francisco -292, Minnesota 239
- SF: QBJimmy Garoppolois averaging 270.5 yards.
- MIN: RBDalvin Cookhas 12 TDs in Minnesota’s 11 victories.
Why the 49ers can cover
The 49ers have covered the spread in three of four games this season with a rest advantage, and they will have 12 days off leading up to this game. The offense is built around a running game led byRaheem Mostert, who has 772 yards and eight TDs. It also has a “secret” weapon in Pro Bowl fullbackKyle Juszczyk, who provides devastating blocks, makes the occasional big reception and leads the special teams. Tight endGeorge Kittleis the top target with 85 catches.
San Francisco went 9-6-1 against the spread this season, and a defense that had 48 sacks this season should be able to get toKirk Cousins. The Vikings quarterback was taken down 28 times during the regular season and twice in the Wild-Card win in New Orleans. LinebackerArik Armstead(10 sacks) and Pro Bowl endNick Bosa(nine) can shake up quarterbacks, while Pro Bowl cornerbackRichard Shermancan take away receiving options and has three interceptions.
Why the Vikings can cover
The underdog is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings between these teams and running back Dalvin Cook is the foundation of the offense. He rushed for 94 yards and two TDs in New Orleans and sparked an offense that was sixth in the league in rushing at 133.3 yards per game.
Defensive endDanielle Hunter, who had 14.5 sacks during the regular season and added 1.5 againstDrew Breeslast Sunday, is the defense’s top player. Hunter will be joined at the Pro Bowl by safetyHarrison Smith, who was second on the team with 85 tackles and was responsible for five takeaways during the regular season.Anthony Harrisled the team with six picks and had another one in the wild-card round.
How to make 49ers vs. Vikings picks
We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it’s also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
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