We are now just one day away from the 2020 NFL Draft — which could end up being the most-watched NFL Draft of all time. The COVID-19 pandemic, the stay-at-home orders and the lack of live sports have made this one of the most anticipated sporting events of the year.
As legal gambling has become more and more prevalent in the United States, the NFL Draft has emerged as one of those Super Bowl-like events that people turn into a way to spend and potentially make money. William Hill Sportsbook released a list of prop bets for the upcoming draft this week, and they have several intriguing options. From over/unders on specific draft positions to odds on which specific team will select a prospect, they have it all.
Let’s take a look at some of the most interesting prop bets for the 2020 NFL Draft. Below each, CBS Sports draft expert Josh Edwards provides the pick he’d make for each prop (and you can check out how we expect things to play out in our mock drafts here).
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Tua Tagovailoa Draft Position
Over 3.5 (-360)
Under 3.5 ( 280)
Tagovailoa appears to be one of the most polarizing prospects in this class. He could end up being the top quarterback or he could end up being a bust because of his injury history. Think someone will trade up to get him or he will suffer a fall on draft day? This is the prop bet for you.
Edwards’ expert pick: It is certainly a possibility that a team moves up to No. 2 or No. 3 overall to select Tagovailoa. However, it has been trending away from that possibility in recent weeks. This one could go either way, but I’ll take the Over.
Which Team Will Draft Tua Tagovailoa
Miami Dolphins 100
Los Angeles Chargers 140
Jacksonville Jaguars 700
Detroit Lions 1000
New England Patriots 1500
Washington Redskins 1500
The Dolphins are the clear favorite here, but if you believe it will be another team — you could win some decent money.
Edwards’ expert pick: The Chargers really like Tagovailoa but Miami has the draft capital to make this happen, if necessary. I am rolling with the Dolphins in this one.
Justin Herbert Draft Position
Over 5.5 (-110)
Under 5.5 (-110)
This prop bet hinges on what the Miami Dolphins do at No. 5 overall. Will they trade up for Tagovailoa or will they sit at their current pick and make the decision between Tagovailoa and Herbert? There of course is always the possibility someone trades up into the top five for Herbert.
Edwards’ expert pick: It essentially boils down to whether the Dolphins would take him at No. 5 overall. Quarterbacks always go earlier than expected, yet I am still going to be suckered into taking the Over.
Which Team Will Draft Justin Herbert
Miami Dolphins -120
Los Angeles Chargers 140
Jacksonville Jaguars 1200
Las Vegas Raiders 1400
Carolina Panthers 1500
Indianapolis Colts 1500
New England Patriots 1500
Edwards’ expert pick: Miami is supposedly comfortable with Herbert but I still see them preferring Tagovailoa. I expect that he is taken first. Who would then take Herbert? The Chargers are outwardly projecting Tyrod Taylor as their starter but it is not being bought around here. I’ll wager Los Angeles claims him.
Jordan Love Draft Position
Over 19.5 (-170)
Under 19.5 ( 140)
Love is another one of the top quarterback prospects in this class and is thought to be a first-round pick. Where he goes in the first round is clearly up for debate, however.
Edwards’ expert pick: If Love slips passed the Jaguars at No. 8 overall, I would expect someone to move up into the top 20. The Patriots and Saints are possibilities in that scenario. It would not be out of character for Las Vegas to end his fall at No. 19 overall either. I’ll take the Under.
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Jacob Eason Draft Position
Over 53.5 (-110)
Under 53.5 (-110)
It’s hard not to be intrigued by the under here. Eason has a big arm and possibly could be a first-round pick.
Edwards’ expert pick: Eason is being projected late in Round 2 and that is the most likely scenario barring a trade up. The Under would not surprise me but I am taking the Over.
Jalen Hurts Draft Position
Over 60.5 (-110)
Under 60.5 (-110)
Hurts is another prospect who might go higher than people expect.
Edwards’ expert pick: Personally, I would not select Hurts in the second round. However, someone is destined to do just that. I will take the Under on Hurts at 60.5.
Jake Fromm Draft Position
Over 68.5 (-110)
Under 68.5 (-110)
If there is a run on quarterbacks in the first or second round, Fromm could go higher than you might expect.
Edwards’ expert pick: I love Fromm pre-snap but he needs the roster to be built up around him to find success. He can be a quality backup or a low level starter in my opinion. Those players typically do not land in Round 2 or higher. I will take the Over.
Jerry Jeudy Draft Position
Over 12.5 ( 120)
Under 12.5 (-150)
Jeudy is widely regarded as the top receiver in this class, but not everyone believes that. A team like the Denver Broncos could trade up to get him or he could fall a bit.
Edwards’ expert pick: I still feel as though the Jets will take an offensive tackle at No. 11 overall. To hit the Under, Jeudy would have to be taken by the Raiders at No. 12 overall or a team would need to trade up for him. I am torn on this one. The Browns are a power broker in this scenario because they could trade out of No. 10 overall. I am still inclined to take the Over.
Which Team Will Draft Jerry Jeudy
Las Vegas Raiders 140
New York Jets 250
San Francisco 49ers 550
Denver Broncos 700
Field (Any Other Team) 800
Indianapolis Colts 800
This is a tough one, I already mentioned the Broncos could be worth putting some money on or maybe even the field.
Edwards’ expert pick: The Broncos strike me as good value here. They are supposedly enamored with the prospect and willing to move up for the right to select him.
CeeDee Lamb Draft Position
Over 12.5 ( 100)
Under 12.5 (-130)
If Jeudy isn’t the top receiver in this class, then it’s probably Lamb.
Edwards’ expert pick: Again, it is essentially Raiders or bust for Lamb in the top 12. The odds of him landing beyond 12 is more likely. It seems unlikely that Lamb and Jeudy would both be taken in the top 12 so that could be a way to hedge bets. I’ll take the Over on Lamb’s spot.
Henry Ruggs III Draft Position
Over 14.5 ( 100)
Under 14.5 (-130)
Ruggs is probably the fastest receiver in this draft, and someone like the Kansas City Chiefs could trade up to get him.
Edwards’ expert pick: I’ll take the Under. There are more teams that could take him above that slotting. The Jets, Raiders and 49ers are all possibilities. A trade up could also open the door.
Justin Jefferson Draft Position
Over 21.5 ( 140)
Under 21.5 (-170)
The reason the line is currently around 21 is because the Philadelphia Eagles currently sit at that spot — and many believe they will take a receiver.
Edwards’ expert pick: I think Jefferson is closer in talent to Lamb, Jeudy and Ruggs than the next tier. His floor feels like the Eagles at No. 21 overall. I will take the Under.
Tee Higgins Draft Position
Over 34.5 (-110)
Under 34.5 (-110)
Higgins is a wide receiver who could be selected in the first round, so the Under is intriguing here.
Edwards’ expert pick: I’ll take the Over. I value Higgins in that range but there are a lot of options and it is just as easy that he slides a bit further down. Injuries and pre-draft workouts likely necessitate a slide.
D’Andre Swift Draft Position
Over 30.5 (-110)
Under 30.5 (-110)
Swift is considered the top running back in this class and a candidate to go in the first round. Will that be in the middle of the first round or late, however? Or he could fall into the second round.
Edwards’ expert pick: I’ll take the Over. If anyone takes him in the first round, it would probably be the Chiefs at No. 32 overall. No one is going to trade up for a running back.
Jonathan Taylor Draft Position
Over 37.5 (-120)
Under 37.5 ( 100)
Taylor will probably be the second running back to be taken in this class, and it’s hard to make heads or tails of this line.
Edwards’ expert pick: I’ll take the Over again. Fumbles are a concern and it is hard to justify his selection there. The running back group gets pretty crowded in Round 2 and teams will find that it is strictly a matter of preference.
J.K. Dobbins Draft Position
Over 46.5 (-110)
Under 46.5 (-110)
If there is a run on running backs in the second round, Dobbins could hit the Under.
Edwards’ expert pick: The line is split, and for good reason. It could go either way. I will take the Over here; a common theme at the running back position it seems.
Jedrick Wills Draft Position
Over 8.5 ( 100)
Under 8.5 (-130)
Many expect there to be a run on offensive tackles early in the first round, who will be selected first and where it will be is still up to debate.
Edwards’ expert pick: If the Giants do not take Wills at No. 4 overall, I think the Cardinals will take him at No. 8 overall. Give me the Under.
Tristan Wirfs Draft Position
Over 8.5 ( 140)
Under 8.5 (-170)
Wirfs is considered the most athletic offensive tackle in this class which means he could be the first one taken on Thursday.
Edwards’ expert pick: My frame of mind with Wills is similar to Wirfs. I think one will go at No. 4 overall and the other will go No. 8 overall. I’ll take the Under again.
Andrew Thomas Draft Position
Over 10.5 ( 100)
Under 10.5 (-120)
Thomas figures to go either No. 10 to the Cleveland Browns or No. 11 to the New York Jets. I may take the Over here.
Edwards’ expert pick: Unless Cleveland trades for Trent Williams before the draft, I do not believe Thomas would get by them at No. 10 overall. I’ll take the Under.
Second Overall Pick in the 2020 Draft
Chase Young -1000
Tua Tagovailoa 600
Joe Burrow 2000
Justin Herbert 2800
Isaiah Simmons 4000
Unless you are adamant a team will trade up to No. 2 to take Tagovailoa, I wouldn’t even touch this one.
Edwards’ expert pick: There is buzz that Washington might trade out of that selection. At the end of the day, I imagine they stay put despite already having a talented defensive line. I’ll take Young. Tagovailoa would be my next lean if you’re looking for value.
Who Will Be Third QB Taken in the 2020 Draft
Justin Herbert -140
Tua Tagovailoa 115
Jordan Love 400
Joe Burrow 10000
Jake Fromm 15000
Jacob Eason 15000
Herbert seems like a lock to be the third quarterback drafted but maybe sprinkle some money on Tagovailoa or Love.
Edwards’ expert pick: If the question were, who will be the first or fourth quarterback taken, it would be much easier. If I were going to make a bet on this prop, it would be Tagovailoa because there is more value. However, in a bubble, my prediction would probably be Herbert.
First Wide Receiver Drafted
Jerry Jeudy 120
CeeDee Lamb 130
Henry Ruggs 300
Tee Higgins 5000
Denzel Mims 5000
Justin Jefferson 5000
It really could be any of the top three favorites, but I would probably stick with Jeudy.
Edwards’ expert pick: If there were a three-headed coin, flip it. I’m going Jeudy.
Total Quarterbacks Drafted in First Round
Over 4.5 ( 400)
Under 4.5 (-600)
The 4.5 line is very interesting. Four quarterbacks being taken seems like a sure thing, so you have to think there will be at least one other. I’m leaning toward the Over.
Edwards’ expert pick: I do not foresee Jacob Eason or Jalen Hurts getting into the first round. I will take the Under.
Total Wide Receivers Drafted in First Round
Over 5.5 (-190)
Under 5.5 ( 160)
This wide receiver class is extremely deep. You have to imagine that there will be at least four receivers drafted in the first round with five as a possibility. With 160 as the Under I may take it and hope for five.
Edwards’ expert pick: Four will be drafted without question. I think one more would land there as well but I do not think the value supports six total in the first round. It is a deep class at wide receiver so teams will not feel pressured to get a guy in Round 1. I’ll take the Under.
Which Team Will Draft Chase Young
Washington Redskins -1000
Detroit Lions 750
New York Giants 1200
Cincinnati Bengals 1500
Miami Dolphins 1800
Los Angeles Chargers 2500
The Redskins at No. 2 overall are heavy favorites here, but if you believe they will trade down then go ahead and sprinkle some on the Lions or even the Giants.
Edwards’ expert pick: It’s the Redskins or Lions. There is no value on other teams. Again, I think the Redskins select him. I do think there is some value on the Lions though. Washington needs a linebacker more than it needs another edge rusher.
Isaiah Simmons Draft Position
Over 6.5 (-140)
Under 6.5 ( 110)
After crushing the NFL combine, Simmons could end up being a top-five pick.
Edwards’ expert pick: Tough, tough call. I will take the Over. Washington and Los Angeles could come into play.
Which Team Will Draft Isaiah Simmons
New York Giants 180
Carolina Panthers 200
Detroit Lions 300
Field (Any Other Team) 500
Arizona Cardinals 600
Jacksonville Jaguars 800
I’m comfortable taking the Giants here but there is always the possibility he could fall. It all hinges on what you think happens with the quarterbacks.
Edwards’ expert pick: I believe the Giants will take an offensive tackle after spending big on a few linebackers in free agency. I’ll take the Panthers.
Jeff Okudah Draft Position
Over 4.5 (-110)
Under 4.5 (-110)
Okudah is the top cornerback in this class and I would consider taking the Under here.
Edwards’ expert pick: Unless there is a trade at the top, Okudah should go No. 3 overall to the Lions. I’ll take the Under.
Which Team Will Draft Jeff Okudah
Detroit Lions -160
Carolina Panthers 450
Jacksonville Jaguars 800
Arizona Cardinals 800
Los Angeles Chargers 800
New York Giants 800
The Lions are the easy favorite here and might be worth taking those odds — even if they are -160.
Edwards’ expert pick: Even in a trade down scenario, I think Detroit is the heavy favorite to select the Ohio State product.
C.J. Henderson Draft Position
Over 12.5 (-200)
Under 12.5 ( 150)
Some try to make the argument that Henderson is the top cornerback in this class over Okudah, but he’s likely to go No. 2. I would consider the Over here.
Edwards’ expert pick: Let’s get aggressive here and go Under. The Jets, Jaguars or Cardinals could take him straight up. There have also been murmurings that Atlanta might be looking to move up for him.
Derrick Brown Draft Positi on
Over 8.5 (
(Under 8.5) – 180)
Most mock drafts have Brown going No. 7 overall to the Panthers, but hop on the Over if you think he could fall.
Edwards’ expert pick: Where do teams value the interior defensive line? Brown is a top 8 talent but the positional value may not match. I still believe a team will select him in the top 8. Carolina could end his fall. I’ll take the Under.
Javon Kinlaw Draft Position
Over (5) – 120) Under (5) –
Some consider Kinlaw the prospect with the most potential to fall down draft boards on Thursday night.
Edwards’ expert pick: (Take the over.
Total SEC Players Drafted in First Round
Over (5) 120 (Under) (5) – 140)
William Hill has odds for each of the power five conferences, but the SEC has the most prospects selected almost every season. CBS NFL Draft writer Ryan Wilson’s most recent mock has 20 SEC players being selected in the first round – and I’m also leaning toward the Over.
Edwards’ expert pick: I am going Under here. Half of the first round belonging to one conference would be remarkable and historic. Our CBS Sports aggregate rankings have
SEC players with first-round grades . They would need three more to make the Over hit.
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