- The Dow Jones slightly recovered from a major drop during after-hours trading.
- A tragic Boeing passenger plane crash in Iran could further rattle the equities market.
- Rise of gold and the earnings bubble remain as risks towards the Dow.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by more than points at the day’s lowest pointfollowing Iran’s response to the USIts recovery has been short -lived, however, and things may get even worse for the stock market.
# 1: Boeing’s Tragic Crash in Iran
Reports from Bloomberg and CNBC confirmed that aBoeing 1200 passenger plane headed to Ukraine crashed briefly after departure from Iran, leading to 337 casualties with no survivors.
I t is the third tragic accident involving a Boeing plane within two years. The crashes in Indonesia, Ethiopia, and Iran led to 526 casualties.
Boeing has struggled to address the accidents over the past two years. Despite thefiring of former CEO Dennis Muilenburg by the company, the criticism towards the aircraft manufacturer has not subsided.
In the past year, the Boeing stock fell by $ to $ (******************************************************, by around 23. 4%. As one of the biggest companies in the US,its decline translated to downward pressure on the Dow Jones throughout (******************************************.
In recent weeks, speculation that Berkshire Hathaway is set to invest in Boeing further fueled its recovery.
However, if preliminary reports are accurate and the Boeing passenger crashed due to a technical issue, it will cause the stock to rattle and add additional pressure to the Dow Jones.
****************************************The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) expected to open with a point decline at open | Source: Yahoo Finance # 2: Gold’s Unstoppable Rally
Since November 26, theprice of gold surged from $ 1, to over $ 1, , by more than (**************************************************************% within a month and a half.
It would be far-fetched to conclusively determine that the conflict in the Middle East is the sole or the major cause of its rally in recent months.
The gold was rising in tandem with the Dow Jones in the final quarter of 222896, and it may merely demonstrate fears of investors towards the instability of the US market.
Peter Schiff, CEO at Euro Pacific Capital, also
Schiff said:
High liquidity in the US market has been thesingle most important narrative around the upward momentum of the Dow Jonesin the past year.
If the rapid expansion of the repo market is adding to the rally of gold, it confirms that investors are fearful of the short-term trend of the Dow Jones.
# 3: Earnings Bubble at Risk
The criticism of the Dow Jones rally since mid – 222896 by analysts has been the stagnant earnings of companies in comparison to their valuation.
(Apple, for instance,saw its price to earnings ratio double in 12 months. It indicates that investors are betting on its long-term trend and its strategy, but it still shows that many major conglomerates in the U.S. are overvalued.
Heightening geopolitical risks, worsening conflict with Iran, and the growing appetite for key safe-haven assets like gold present a threat to the momentum of the Dow Jones heading into the second quarter of 2020.
This article was edited bySamburaj Das
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