Howdy Modi! President Trump Lands Death Blow Ahead of Indian Summer, Crypto Coins News
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The Trump administration declared India a developed country, which means it will lose all the benefits it used to receive under the Generalized System of Preferences scheme.
India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi was planning to turn the country into a $ 5 trillion economy by . The Trump administration’s decision delivered a deathblow to those plans.
The threat of coronavirus and a slowing economy are looming large over India.
Earlier this week, the United States Trade Representatives (USTR) classified India as a ‘developed nation ‘. This means India will not receive any benefits under the Generalized Preferences Scheme (GSP), which eliminates duties on thousands of products imported from emerging countries.
India’s tariff-free access to the U.S. market is now over. The classification is a critical blow to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP).
Meanwhile, India was planning to finalize a limited trade agreement with the U.S. when President Trump arrived in the country on Feb. . After USTR’s decision, the possibility of the deal’s announcement has now been called into question.
India has been the largest beneficiary of GSP, which was established by the Trade Act of . It received benefits worth up to $ (million until 20948. The figure forms a small portion of India’s overall exports, which stand at $ 190 billion.
But when you consider other factors that will affect India’s economy in the coming years, the Trump administration’s decision will harm everything India’s
ruling party set out to achieve.
India is Heading Towards a Middle-Income Trap
The USTR considers any country having a share of 0.5% or more of world trade as a ‘developed’ country. So it was well within its rights to classify India as a developed nation.
As a developing country, India enjoyed many benefits under the GSP that it will now have to relinquish. Under the scheme, India enjoyed duty-free and heavily subsidized exports to the U.S. Out of the total $ 5.6 billion of GSP-related trade;
$ 481 million was duty free .
It helped India grow exports at a rapid pace, so losing access to the benefits is huge blow. And that may prove to be a big problem for Prime Minister Modi when you consider the sector-specific damage this could cause.
India is on the path. to become a middle-income trapped country in the coming years. Boosting exports was a way for India to claw its way out. India is a domestic consumption-driven economy, but over the last few years, the consumption has flat-lined.
India’s consumption has been on a downward trend. | Source: Hindustan Times
PM Modi’s economic adviser, Dr. Rathin Roy, recognized this
in a
interview :
India may end up as a basket case, much like Brazil. Instead of becoming another China.
The U.S. has been the largest importer of Indian goods. And India needed whatever benefits it could to grow their exports to the U.S.
Without the benefits, Indian companies will be at a severe disadvantage, and exports to the U.S. will come down.
Indian Manufacturers won’t Allow Modi-Government to Enter RCEP
Another opportunity to grow exports had arrived in the form of the
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). Entering RCEP would have given India a free trade agreement with ten ASEAN countries and its six FTA partners.
RCEP was a golden opportunity for Indian manufacturers to test themselves against products from around the world. Entering a free-trade agreement with these countries, Indian companies would have to compete with overseas-made products on an equal footing.
If they had exposed themselves, there could have been lessons learned. And companies that could compete against foreign products on quality and cost would have gained access to huge markets in the RCEP countries.
It would have also helped increase the spending of Indian consumers by lowering tariffs on imported goods.
RCEP would have helped India claw its way out of the middle-income trap by both, growing exports and consumption.
RCEP was a missed opportunity. | Source: Study IQ
But domestic manufacturers staged huge protests against it . Since Modi derives much of his support from local manufacturers, they eventually got their way. India refused to sign the deal, missing a huge opportunity to escape the middle-income trap.
Potential Coronavirus Outbreak Could Exacerbate the Death Blow
Modi recently President Trump garner helped more support from Indian voters in the US President Trump returned the favor by delivering a death blow that can cause the Modi government to lose support for the (election.)
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article do not. necessarily reflect the views of CCN.com.
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